Bischofszell vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
1.8%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
3-0
<0%
4-1
<0%
+3
<0%
2-0
0.2%
3-1
0.1%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.3%
1-0
0.6%
2-1
0.6%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
1.4%
4.9%
Draw
0-0
1%
1-1
2.3%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
4.9%
93%
Win probability
4.02
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.5%
0-3
11.3%
1-4
6.2%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
19%
0-4
11.4%
1-5
4.9%
2-6
0.9%
3-7
0.1%
-4
17.3%
0-5
9.1%
1-6
3.3%
2-7
0.5%
3-8
0%
-5
13%
0-6
6.1%
1-7
1.9%
2-8
0.3%
3-9
0%
-6
8.3%
0-7
3.5%
1-8
1%
2-9
0.1%
-7
4.6%
0-8
1.8%
1-9
0.4%
2-10
0%
-8
2.2%
0-9
0.8%
1-10
0.2%
-9
1%
0-10
0.3%
-10
0.3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
BEL
0 - 4
FCA
24%
24%
53%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
THU
2 - 2
FCA
32%
24%
44%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2022 |
FCA
1 - 2
LAU
44%
25%
30%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2022 |
NEX
1 - 2
FCA
21%
22%
57%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2022 |
FCA
1 - 1
FCV
42%
24%
34%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |