Bischofswerdaer vs Blau-Weiß Zorbau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.2%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.1%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.8%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.4%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11.8%
5%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+71%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
3º
11º
5º
16
12º
15º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
33 | 63 |
1º
|
52.5% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 57 |
2º
|
16.5% | |
|
1º
|
35 | 56 |
3º
|
19.5% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 56 |
4º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
26 | 56 |
5º
|
16.5% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 55 |
6º
|
15.5% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 48 |
7º
|
31% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 38 |
8º
|
18% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 36 |
9º
|
16.5% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 35 |
10º
|
9% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 34 |
11º
|
17% | |
|
15º
|
15 | 33 |
12º
|
9.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
16 | 31 |
13º
|
18.5% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 31 |
14º
|
16.5% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 30 |
15º
|
26.5% | |
|
16º
|
6 | 15 |
16º
|
92% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
10.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
89.5% | 63.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 36.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bischofswerdaer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
BIS
2 - 2
EWD
77%
15%
8%
|
49 | 33 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
VFB
1 - 3
BIS
24%
22%
54%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
WIS
0 - 2
BIS
11%
18%
70%
|
48 | 27 | 21 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
SVG
2 - 0
BIS
11%
19%
70%
|
50 | 31 | 19 | -2 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
BIS
1 - 0
UNI
78%
15%
7%
|
49 | 33 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Blau-Weiß Zorbau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
SVB
2 - 1
LFC
37%
23%
40%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
SCF
4 - 1
SVB
62%
19%
19%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
SVB
0 - 1
EWD
30%
22%
48%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
SVB
3 - 1
WIS
27%
20%
53%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | +2 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
VFB
8 - 2
SVB
84%
10%
5%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | 0 |