Bischofswerdaer vs SC Freital analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
5%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.8%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
52.6%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.9%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
59
1º
7º
3º
50
1º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
71 | 71 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
54 | 54 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
50 | 50 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
48 | 48 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
47 | 47 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
44 | 44 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
43 | 43 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
42 | 42 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
41 | 41 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
36 | 36 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
31 | 31 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
28 | 28 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
24 | 24 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bischofswerdaer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
BUD
0 - 1
BIS
33%
24%
44%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
BIS
0 - 0
PLA
42%
23%
35%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
AUE
1 - 1
BIS
45%
22%
33%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
BIS
2 - 0
UNI
49%
23%
28%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
SVB
2 - 2
BIS
38%
22%
41%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
SC Freital
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
SCF
0 - 2
EIL
62%
19%
19%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
BUD
1 - 2
SCF
17%
20%
64%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
SCF
1 - 1
SVG
78%
14%
8%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
PLA
0 - 2
SCF
28%
22%
50%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
SCF
2 - 1
FCA
84%
11%
5%
|
38 | 20 | 18 | 0 |