Bischofswerdaer vs FSV Motor Marienberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.5%
Win probability
2.84
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.3%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.8%
9.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
70
1º
5º
2º
22
7º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
22 | 22 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bischofswerdaer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
MAG
2 - 2
BIS
76%
16%
9%
|
40 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
BIS
1 - 0
EIN
76%
15%
9%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
BUD
1 - 1
BIS
28%
22%
50%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
BIS
3 - 1
VFB
33%
24%
43%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
LFC
1 - 1
BIS
14%
19%
67%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
FSV Motor Marienberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
FSV
1 - 6
UNI
35%
23%
42%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
AUE
3 - 1
FSV
68%
16%
16%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
FSV
2 - 3
VFL
38%
22%
40%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
SVA
2 - 3
FSV
46%
21%
33%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
MAG
7 - 0
FSV
80%
14%
6%
|
25 | 64 | 39 | -1 |