Birmingham Legion vs Miami FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.3%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.2%
9.5%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birmingham Legion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
LOU
4 - 2
BLE
29%
25%
46%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2024 |
BLE
2 - 0
TAM
30%
26%
44%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | +2 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
RHO
2 - 0
BLE
19%
22%
59%
|
61 | 32 | 29 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
BLE
0 - 3
PIT
42%
28%
31%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
BLE
0 - 1
DET
57%
24%
19%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Miami FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
MIA
0 - 3
HAA
44%
23%
33%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
NMU
1 - 0
MIA
79%
15%
6%
|
45 | 66 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
MIA
1 - 0
MBF
37%
24%
39%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
TAM
2 - 0
MIA
83%
12%
5%
|
44 | 68 | 24 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
MIA
1 - 5
MEM
21%
24%
55%
|
45 | 61 | 16 | -1 |