Birmingham Legion vs Louisville City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.4%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
43%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birmingham Legion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2024 |
DET
1 - 2
BLE
25%
28%
48%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2024 |
BLE
3 - 0
USA
34%
27%
39%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | +2 |
| 10 Jun. 2024 |
BLE
0 - 1
IND
38%
26%
35%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
EPL
1 - 3
BLE
29%
26%
45%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
SAC
0 - 0
BLE
60%
23%
17%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Louisville City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
LOU
2 - 5
RHO
77%
15%
8%
|
67 | 14 | 53 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2024 |
PIT
0 - 1
LOU
31%
28%
42%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
TAM
3 - 2
LOU
48%
25%
27%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
LOU
2 - 1
CAR
60%
22%
19%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
MIA
1 - 2
LOU
20%
24%
56%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | +1 |