Birmingham Legion vs Loudoun United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.7%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.2%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
16.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.4%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.3%
7%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birmingham Legion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
BLE
0 - 2
TUL
58%
23%
19%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
SAC
0 - 1
BLE
47%
26%
28%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Jul. 2022 |
CHA
0 - 3
BLE
20%
24%
57%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2022 |
AFC
3 - 3
BLE
20%
23%
57%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2022 |
LOU
2 - 1
BLE
64%
22%
15%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Loudoun United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
LOU
1 - 2
MIA
15%
20%
65%
|
34 | 52 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
LOU
1 - 4
TAM
14%
22%
64%
|
35 | 63 | 28 | -1 |
| 04 Jul. 2022 |
LOU
2 - 2
TUL
26%
23%
51%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 Jun. 2022 |
ORA
3 - 1
LOU
78%
15%
7%
|
35 | 50 | 15 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 2022 |
LOU
4 - 3
ARI
16%
21%
63%
|
33 | 56 | 23 | +2 |