Birmingham Legion vs Detroit City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
19.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birmingham Legion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
MBF
1 - 2
BLE
20%
25%
56%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
BLE
2 - 2
HAA
72%
17%
10%
|
61 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
BLE
3 - 0
ORA
44%
26%
31%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
NMU
1 - 1
BLE
54%
24%
23%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Jul. 2024 |
BLE
1 - 3
RHO
70%
18%
12%
|
59 | 19 | 40 | 0 |
Matches
Detroit City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
LVG
1 - 1
DET
44%
25%
31%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2024 |
DET
0 - 0
PIT
23%
29%
48%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
DET
1 - 1
RHO
63%
22%
15%
|
55 | 22 | 33 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2024 |
HAA
1 - 0
DET
25%
25%
51%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
DET
0 - 1
SAC
20%
28%
53%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | -1 |