Birmingham Legion vs Austin Bold analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
22.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birmingham Legion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
BLE
3 - 1
IND
56%
24%
20%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
SPK
0 - 1
BLE
26%
25%
49%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
BLE
2 - 1
CHA
33%
28%
39%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2021 |
AFC
0 - 4
BLE
41%
25%
34%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | +2 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
BLE
1 - 1
OKC
57%
24%
20%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Austin Bold
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2021 |
AUB
1 - 1
OKC
52%
25%
24%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2021 |
AUB
1 - 0
TAC
64%
20%
16%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
COL
3 - 1
AUB
41%
27%
32%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2021 |
AUB
2 - 2
EPL
35%
28%
37%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
TUL
0 - 1
AUB
51%
24%
25%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |