Birmingham City vs Wrexham AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
39.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2024 |
BIR
1 - 1
WAL
61%
21%
18%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
BIR
2 - 1
WIG
46%
26%
28%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2024 |
BIR
0 - 2
FUL
19%
23%
58%
|
71 | 89 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
LEY
1 - 2
BIR
36%
28%
36%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
WYC
2 - 3
BIR
44%
27%
29%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Wrexham AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2024 |
WRE
2 - 1
SAL
81%
12%
7%
|
74 | 55 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
WRE
3 - 0
STF
83%
13%
5%
|
74 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
POS
0 - 2
WRE
47%
24%
29%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
WRE
3 - 0
REA
53%
23%
24%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
BOL
0 - 0
WRE
53%
24%
24%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |