Birmingham City vs Wrexham AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.7%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
18.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 1997 |
BIR
0 - 3
OPA
53%
26%
22%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1997 |
BIR
2 - 3
WBA
58%
24%
19%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1997 |
BOL
2 - 1
BIR
73%
17%
10%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 1997 |
QPR
1 - 1
BIR
70%
18%
12%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1997 |
BIR
3 - 1
STO
45%
26%
30%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Wrexham AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 1997 |
POS
0 - 1
WRE
44%
27%
30%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1997 |
CHE
0 - 0
WRE
50%
27%
23%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1997 |
POS
2 - 4
WRE
56%
23%
21%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 1997 |
WRE
1 - 1
GIL
67%
21%
12%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1997 |
WHU
0 - 1
WRE
77%
16%
7%
|
55 | 75 | 20 | +2 |