Birmingham City vs Watford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.7%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
26.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 1983 |
NOT
2 - 1
BIR
58%
23%
18%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1983 |
WHU
4 - 0
BIR
70%
18%
12%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1983 |
SOU
0 - 1
BIR
74%
16%
10%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1983 |
BIR
2 - 0
TOT
38%
26%
36%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 May. 1983 |
BIR
1 - 1
BHA
52%
25%
23%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Watford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 1983 |
WAT
2 - 2
IPS
43%
25%
32%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1983 |
WAT
2 - 3
COV
61%
21%
18%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 May. 1983 |
WAT
2 - 1
LIV
32%
26%
42%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 May. 1983 |
IPS
3 - 1
WAT
67%
19%
14%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1983 |
SUN
2 - 2
WAT
48%
26%
26%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |