Birmingham City vs Walsall analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
18.2%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
BIR
2 - 1
WIG
46%
26%
28%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2024 |
BIR
0 - 2
FUL
19%
23%
58%
|
71 | 89 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
LEY
1 - 2
BIR
36%
28%
36%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
WYC
2 - 3
BIR
44%
27%
29%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
CHA
0 - 1
BIR
41%
24%
35%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Walsall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
WAL
2 - 1
CHE
50%
26%
24%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2024 |
WAL
3 - 2
HUR
17%
21%
62%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
TRA
1 - 0
WAL
38%
26%
36%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
SWI
0 - 4
WAL
37%
25%
38%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
WAL
1 - 1
EXE
26%
23%
51%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | +1 |