Inter-Cities Fairs Cup Semi-finals
Global 8-4
Birmingham City vs Union Saint-Gilloise analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.1%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.5%
16.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 1959 |
BIR
1 - 1
LUT
70%
17%
14%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1959 |
ARS
3 - 0
BIR
62%
19%
19%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 1959 |
BIR
2 - 4
FUL
62%
19%
19%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1959 |
NTT
0 - 2
BIR
48%
23%
29%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1959 |
BIR
0 - 0
SHW
63%
19%
19%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Union Saint-Gilloise
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 1959 |
UNI
2 - 4
BIR
59%
20%
21%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1959 |
UNI
3 - 1
SDL
43%
24%
33%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 May. 1959 |
ROM
1 - 1
UNI
59%
19%
22%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1959 |
SDL
6 - 1
UNI
62%
19%
19%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 1959 |
UNI
2 - 0
ROM
63%
19%
18%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | +1 |