Birmingham City vs Swindon Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.9%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
16.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.5%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
9%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.2%
9.9%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 1999 |
BIR
3 - 1
TRA
60%
24%
16%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1999 |
BAR
2 - 1
BIR
49%
25%
27%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 1999 |
OPA
2 - 2
BIR
27%
27%
47%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1999 |
BIR
1 - 0
CHA
47%
26%
27%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1999 |
QPR
2 - 2
BIR
29%
28%
43%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Swindon Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 1999 |
SWI
1 - 2
CHA
27%
26%
47%
|
52 | 72 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1999 |
WOL
1 - 1
SWI
71%
19%
10%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1999 |
SWI
0 - 0
NOR
39%
26%
35%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 1999 |
HUR
4 - 0
SWI
73%
18%
9%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 1999 |
BOL
2 - 0
SWI
78%
15%
7%
|
53 | 72 | 19 | -1 |