Birmingham City vs Swansea City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
44.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
BIR
4 - 1
SHW
56%
24%
19%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2013 |
BUR
3 - 0
BIR
43%
26%
31%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
QPR
1 - 0
BIR
47%
26%
28%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
BIR
1 - 1
IPS
57%
24%
19%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2013 |
YEO
3 - 3
BIR
30%
24%
46%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Swansea City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
CRY
0 - 2
SWA
24%
26%
50%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2013 |
VCF
0 - 3
SWA
68%
19%
13%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2013 |
SWA
2 - 2
LIV
26%
25%
49%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
WBA
0 - 2
SWA
51%
24%
25%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2013 |
PET
2 - 1
SWA
38%
26%
36%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |