Birmingham City vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.2%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
44.6%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec. 1949 |
BUR
1 - 1
BIR
58%
24%
18%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1949 |
DER
4 - 1
BIR
78%
14%
8%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1949 |
BIR
2 - 2
DER
24%
25%
51%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1949 |
BIR
1 - 0
STO
35%
27%
38%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 1949 |
CHL
3 - 0
BIR
72%
16%
11%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec. 1949 |
SUN
2 - 0
BOL
60%
21%
18%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1949 |
STO
2 - 1
SUN
45%
23%
32%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1949 |
SUN
3 - 0
STO
54%
22%
24%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Dec. 1949 |
ARS
5 - 0
SUN
68%
17%
15%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 1949 |
SUN
3 - 2
LIV
46%
24%
29%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |