Birmingham City vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.4%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
31.1%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 1938 |
BIR
3 - 2
LEE
50%
23%
27%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1938 |
GRI
4 - 0
BIR
62%
20%
18%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1938 |
BIR
0 - 2
PNE
53%
23%
24%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 1938 |
CHA
2 - 0
BIR
59%
21%
20%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1938 |
BIR
1 - 1
CHL
54%
22%
24%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 1938 |
BOL
1 - 1
SUN
47%
22%
31%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1938 |
SUN
1 - 0
BRE
62%
19%
19%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1938 |
SUN
1 - 0
BRA
82%
11%
7%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1938 |
BPO
0 - 0
SUN
37%
24%
38%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1938 |
MAC
0 - 0
SUN
60%
19%
21%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |