Birmingham City vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.8%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
24%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
31.2%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1931 |
WBA
2 - 1
BIR
51%
22%
27%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1931 |
BIR
0 - 2
BOL
48%
24%
29%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 1931 |
SUN
1 - 0
BIR
67%
17%
16%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1931 |
GRI
4 - 1
BIR
54%
22%
24%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 1931 |
CHL
1 - 0
BIR
43%
25%
33%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1931 |
SUN
1 - 2
MUD
76%
14%
11%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1931 |
SUN
1 - 0
BIR
67%
17%
16%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 1931 |
NEW
2 - 0
SUN
58%
20%
22%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 1931 |
GRI
2 - 1
SUN
48%
22%
30%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1931 |
SUN
3 - 1
BOL
66%
18%
17%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |