Birmingham City vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.9%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
30.4%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 1929 |
BBU
4 - 1
BIR
58%
21%
21%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1929 |
EVE
0 - 2
BIR
64%
19%
17%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 1929 |
BIR
1 - 2
HUR
44%
24%
32%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1928 |
MAC
2 - 3
BIR
64%
18%
18%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1928 |
BOL
6 - 2
BIR
64%
19%
17%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 1929 |
SUN
5 - 0
OPA
71%
16%
14%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1929 |
SUN
4 - 3
SHW
65%
18%
17%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1929 |
DER
0 - 0
SUN
59%
20%
21%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1929 |
SUN
5 - 1
ARS
66%
18%
16%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1928 |
SUN
2 - 1
BUR
63%
18%
19%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | +1 |