Birmingham City vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.9%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
35%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 1926 |
BOL
5 - 3
BIR
66%
19%
16%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1925 |
HUR
4 - 1
BIR
54%
24%
22%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1925 |
TOT
2 - 1
BIR
56%
22%
21%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1925 |
BIR
3 - 1
TOT
47%
26%
27%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1925 |
BIR
1 - 0
ARS
47%
26%
28%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 1926 |
SUN
1 - 3
LEE
73%
16%
11%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1925 |
HUR
1 - 1
SUN
46%
25%
29%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1925 |
SUN
3 - 2
ASV
58%
21%
21%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1925 |
NOT
2 - 0
SUN
37%
25%
38%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1925 |
SUN
2 - 1
MUD
70%
17%
12%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |