Birmingham City vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.2%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
17.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 1907 |
NEW
8 - 0
BIR
76%
16%
9%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1907 |
BIR
2 - 1
BOL
56%
21%
23%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1907 |
BBU
1 - 0
BIR
62%
20%
18%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1907 |
BIR
3 - 4
MUD
46%
24%
30%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1907 |
NTT
1 - 1
BIR
66%
19%
15%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 1907 |
SUN
1 - 2
BOL
57%
20%
22%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1907 |
BBU
4 - 2
SUN
57%
21%
22%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1907 |
SUN
1 - 2
MUD
48%
23%
29%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 1907 |
NTT
4 - 1
SUN
60%
20%
20%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1907 |
SUN
3 - 0
CHL
64%
18%
18%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |