Birmingham City vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.7%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
18.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 1906 |
BBU
1 - 0
BIR
57%
21%
22%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1906 |
BIR
2 - 1
STO
77%
14%
10%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1906 |
MUD
2 - 1
BIR
66%
19%
16%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1906 |
BIR
4 - 2
BOL
58%
20%
23%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 1906 |
SHE
2 - 0
BIR
65%
19%
17%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 1906 |
SUN
0 - 2
DER
75%
15%
10%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1906 |
SUN
1 - 0
BBU
74%
15%
11%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1906 |
STO
2 - 2
SUN
47%
23%
30%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1906 |
SUN
4 - 1
MUD
57%
22%
21%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 1906 |
BOL
1 - 0
SUN
61%
20%
19%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | -1 |