Birmingham City vs Stoke City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
43.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2021 |
BRE
0 - 0
BIR
80%
15%
5%
|
61 | 80 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2021 |
BIR
1 - 0
SWA
16%
23%
60%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
AFC
0 - 0
BIR
75%
17%
8%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
WAT
3 - 0
BIR
80%
15%
5%
|
60 | 81 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2021 |
BIR
2 - 1
REA
27%
27%
46%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2021 |
STO
1 - 2
MIL
46%
27%
27%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2021 |
BRI
0 - 2
STO
38%
28%
34%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
STO
1 - 0
DER
50%
26%
24%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2021 |
CAR
0 - 0
STO
56%
24%
20%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
MID
3 - 0
STO
37%
29%
34%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | -1 |