Birmingham City vs Stoke City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.8%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.8%
54.2%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
WIG
0 - 3
BIR
48%
27%
25%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
BBU
2 - 2
BIR
57%
24%
19%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
BIR
0 - 1
BRI
37%
27%
36%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
BIR
3 - 0
PNE
31%
27%
42%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2018 |
MIL
0 - 2
BIR
52%
26%
22%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
STO
1 - 0
MIL
65%
22%
13%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
ASV
2 - 2
STO
38%
26%
36%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
STO
2 - 0
IPS
76%
17%
7%
|
78 | 56 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
REA
2 - 2
STO
15%
25%
60%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2018 |
STO
2 - 1
DER
52%
25%
23%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |