Birmingham City vs Stoke City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.9%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
17.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1980 |
MAC
0 - 1
BIR
62%
22%
17%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1980 |
BIR
1 - 2
ASV
43%
27%
30%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1980 |
BIR
3 - 1
ARS
33%
28%
39%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 1980 |
WOL
1 - 0
BIR
59%
23%
18%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 1980 |
NOR
2 - 2
BIR
65%
20%
15%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1980 |
STO
1 - 2
MUD
31%
28%
41%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1980 |
STO
0 - 0
BHA
52%
24%
24%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1980 |
SOU
1 - 2
STO
76%
15%
9%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 1980 |
LEI
1 - 1
STO
48%
27%
25%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1980 |
STO
2 - 3
TOT
41%
26%
33%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | -1 |