Birmingham City vs Stoke City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.3%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
27.9%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1935 |
WBA
0 - 0
BIR
68%
17%
15%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1935 |
MAC
3 - 1
BIR
72%
16%
13%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 1935 |
BIR
2 - 0
LEE
50%
22%
28%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 1935 |
BIR
1 - 1
ARS
34%
23%
43%
|
77 | 89 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1935 |
LEE
0 - 0
BIR
62%
19%
18%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1935 |
LIV
2 - 0
STO
68%
17%
16%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1935 |
STO
0 - 2
SUN
43%
24%
34%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1935 |
STO
3 - 0
CHL
50%
23%
26%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1935 |
WBA
2 - 0
STO
63%
19%
19%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1935 |
CHL
3 - 5
STO
59%
20%
21%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |