Birmingham City vs Stoke City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.2%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
15.3%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1922 |
MAC
0 - 1
BIR
67%
19%
14%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1922 |
NEW
0 - 0
BIR
63%
21%
16%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1922 |
BIR
0 - 1
CHL
49%
26%
25%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1922 |
BIR
0 - 2
NEW
46%
28%
26%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 1922 |
CHL
1 - 1
BIR
54%
25%
21%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1922 |
STO
2 - 2
HUR
27%
26%
47%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1922 |
CHL
3 - 2
STO
66%
20%
14%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1922 |
STO
2 - 2
OLD
30%
26%
43%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1922 |
STO
1 - 2
CHL
29%
27%
43%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 1922 |
OLD
4 - 1
STO
59%
22%
18%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |