Birmingham City vs Stockport County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.5%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
29.6%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 1997 |
BIR
4 - 1
REA
50%
26%
24%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1997 |
STO
1 - 0
BIR
51%
27%
23%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 1997 |
BIR
2 - 0
STE
70%
19%
11%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 1996 |
SOU
1 - 1
BIR
42%
27%
31%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1996 |
BIR
0 - 0
GRI
57%
24%
19%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Stockport County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 1997 |
STO
2 - 2
SOU
30%
25%
45%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1997 |
STO
5 - 1
MIL
65%
22%
13%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 1997 |
STO
0 - 2
STO
47%
26%
27%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 1996 |
WRE
2 - 3
STO
38%
27%
35%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1996 |
BCF
0 - 0
STO
35%
27%
38%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |