Birmingham City vs Stevenage analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.1%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.4%
10.5%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 1996 |
SOU
1 - 1
BIR
42%
27%
31%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1996 |
BIR
0 - 0
GRI
57%
24%
19%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1996 |
BIR
0 - 0
BAR
47%
26%
27%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1996 |
NOR
0 - 1
BIR
53%
26%
21%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 1996 |
REA
0 - 0
BIR
47%
26%
27%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Stevenage
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 1996 |
LEY
1 - 2
STE
48%
24%
28%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1996 |
HAY
0 - 2
STE
41%
24%
36%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 1996 |
STE
2 - 2
HAY
75%
15%
10%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 1995 |
HER
2 - 1
STE
54%
22%
25%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |