Birmingham City vs Southampton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
32.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2004 |
TOT
4 - 1
BIR
60%
22%
18%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2004 |
BIR
4 - 0
BBU
39%
27%
35%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 2003 |
EVE
1 - 0
BIR
55%
25%
20%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2003 |
BIR
2 - 1
MAC
39%
27%
35%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2003 |
LEI
0 - 2
BIR
51%
25%
23%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2004 |
SOU
0 - 0
LEI
53%
24%
23%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2004 |
SOU
0 - 3
NEW
33%
27%
41%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 2003 |
SOU
0 - 1
ARS
16%
23%
61%
|
84 | 94 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2003 |
FUL
2 - 0
SOU
45%
27%
28%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
SOU
3 - 0
OPA
60%
23%
17%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |