Birmingham City vs Southampton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.1%
30.3%
Draw
0-0
13%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.3%
40.4%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1986 |
TOT
2 - 0
BIR
77%
15%
8%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1986 |
NEW
4 - 1
BIR
71%
18%
12%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 1986 |
BIR
0 - 2
LUT
29%
29%
42%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1986 |
NTT
3 - 0
BIR
71%
18%
11%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 1986 |
BIR
1 - 1
MUD
20%
26%
54%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 1986 |
SOU
0 - 0
LEI
64%
20%
16%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1986 |
WHU
1 - 0
SOU
59%
22%
18%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1986 |
LIV
2 - 0
SOU
75%
17%
9%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1986 |
SOU
1 - 1
OXF
66%
20%
14%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1986 |
WBA
1 - 0
SOU
37%
28%
35%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |