Birmingham City vs Preston North End analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.8%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
33.3%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1957 |
TOT
7 - 1
BIR
71%
16%
13%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1957 |
BUR
3 - 1
BIR
56%
23%
22%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 1957 |
BIR
0 - 0
TOT
54%
22%
25%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1957 |
BIR
1 - 4
NEW
55%
21%
25%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1957 |
BIR
0 - 2
NTT
66%
18%
16%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Preston North End
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1957 |
PNE
6 - 1
MAC
60%
19%
20%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1957 |
PNE
3 - 1
TOT
61%
20%
19%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1957 |
MAC
2 - 0
PNE
54%
21%
25%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1957 |
WBA
4 - 1
PNE
44%
23%
33%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 1957 |
PNE
2 - 1
BUR
66%
19%
15%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |