Birmingham City vs Preston North End analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.2%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
26.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1938 |
CHL
2 - 2
BIR
61%
21%
18%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1938 |
LEI
2 - 1
BIR
56%
22%
22%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1938 |
BIR
1 - 2
STO
56%
23%
22%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1938 |
BIR
2 - 1
LEI
56%
22%
23%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1938 |
MUD
4 - 1
BIR
49%
24%
27%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Preston North End
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1938 |
PNE
3 - 1
MID
53%
22%
25%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1938 |
LEI
2 - 1
PNE
47%
25%
28%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1938 |
PNE
2 - 0
CHA
58%
21%
21%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1938 |
PNE
1 - 0
LIV
58%
20%
21%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1938 |
CHL
3 - 1
PNE
53%
23%
25%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |