Birmingham City vs Portsmouth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.5%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
25%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 1938 |
HUR
3 - 1
BIR
52%
23%
24%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1938 |
BIR
1 - 0
EVE
44%
23%
33%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1938 |
WOL
2 - 1
BIR
72%
16%
12%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1938 |
BIR
3 - 0
ASV
54%
22%
24%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1938 |
GRI
1 - 0
BIR
58%
21%
21%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Portsmouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 1938 |
OPA
1 - 1
MID
47%
23%
30%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1938 |
LEI
5 - 0
OPA
50%
22%
28%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1938 |
OPA
1 - 1
LIV
53%
22%
25%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1938 |
LEE
2 - 2
OPA
59%
21%
21%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1938 |
OPA
0 - 2
CHA
56%
22%
22%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | -1 |