Birmingham City vs Oldham Athletic AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
23.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 1923 |
OLD
2 - 0
BIR
47%
26%
28%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1923 |
WBA
1 - 0
BIR
63%
21%
16%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1923 |
BIR
0 - 2
WBA
41%
27%
33%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1923 |
BIR
1 - 2
SUN
35%
27%
39%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 1922 |
SUN
5 - 3
BIR
69%
18%
13%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 1923 |
OLD
2 - 0
BIR
47%
26%
28%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1923 |
TOT
3 - 0
OLD
66%
19%
15%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1923 |
OLD
0 - 3
TOT
34%
30%
37%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 1923 |
OLD
0 - 3
MAC
34%
29%
37%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1923 |
NEW
1 - 0
OLD
57%
23%
20%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |