Birmingham City vs Notts County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.9%
Win probability
2.98
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
6%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
11%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.1%
13%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13%
9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1906 |
BRI
0 - 0
BIR
59%
21%
20%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1906 |
BIR
2 - 1
LIV
51%
23%
27%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1906 |
ASV
4 - 1
BIR
73%
16%
11%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 1906 |
BIR
2 - 4
NEW
49%
24%
28%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1906 |
BIR
2 - 2
BRI
66%
17%
16%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1906 |
NOT
0 - 0
SUN
44%
23%
33%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1906 |
BBU
0 - 2
NOT
68%
18%
15%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 1906 |
EVE
2 - 2
NOT
86%
9%
5%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1906 |
NOT
2 - 2
STO
59%
20%
20%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1906 |
MUD
0 - 0
NOT
78%
13%
9%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |