Birmingham City vs Nottingham Forest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.4%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
23%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23%
15.6%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2009 |
BIR
1 - 1
BUR
53%
25%
22%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
SHW
1 - 1
BIR
31%
27%
42%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2009 |
BIR
1 - 0
DER
59%
23%
18%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
BPO
2 - 0
BIR
30%
27%
44%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
BIR
1 - 1
CAR
52%
24%
23%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2009 |
NTT
2 - 2
QPR
45%
27%
28%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2009 |
NTT
2 - 3
DER
47%
25%
28%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
CAR
2 - 0
NTT
55%
26%
20%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2009 |
NTT
2 - 1
SHW
48%
26%
26%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2009 |
DER
1 - 1
NTT
51%
25%
25%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |