Birmingham City vs Nottingham Forest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
+1
18.2%
28%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28%
43.1%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 1985 |
BIR
1 - 2
CHL
30%
28%
42%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1985 |
WHU
2 - 0
BIR
74%
17%
10%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1985 |
BIR
1 - 2
WAT
29%
27%
44%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 1985 |
ARS
0 - 0
BIR
70%
19%
11%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1985 |
BIR
0 - 2
LIV
16%
27%
57%
|
77 | 91 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 1985 |
SOU
3 - 1
NTT
55%
23%
22%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1985 |
NTT
2 - 0
LUT
53%
24%
23%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 1985 |
SHW
2 - 1
NTT
53%
23%
23%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 1985 |
NTT
1 - 1
OXF
66%
20%
13%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1985 |
QPR
3 - 1
NTT
51%
25%
24%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |