Birmingham City vs Nottingham Forest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.1%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.4%
33.5%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 1980 |
BIR
1 - 0
CRY
66%
21%
14%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1980 |
MID
1 - 2
BIR
59%
24%
18%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1980 |
BIR
2 - 1
IPS
33%
27%
40%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 1980 |
BIR
1 - 1
STO
60%
22%
18%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1980 |
MAC
0 - 1
BIR
62%
22%
17%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 1980 |
LIV
0 - 0
NTT
70%
19%
12%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1980 |
NTT
2 - 1
SOU
69%
19%
12%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1980 |
WAT
4 - 1
NTT
22%
29%
49%
|
89 | 65 | 24 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 1980 |
NOR
1 - 1
NTT
39%
28%
33%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1980 |
NTT
2 - 1
LEE
68%
19%
13%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |