Birmingham City vs Nottingham Forest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
24.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1962 |
SHE
0 - 2
BIR
53%
22%
25%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1962 |
BIR
3 - 2
ASV
50%
23%
27%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1962 |
WOL
0 - 2
BIR
74%
15%
11%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 1962 |
BIR
2 - 2
MAC
51%
21%
27%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1962 |
WHU
5 - 0
BIR
63%
19%
19%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1962 |
NTT
1 - 1
LEY
70%
17%
13%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1962 |
BOL
1 - 0
NTT
48%
23%
29%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 1962 |
SHW
2 - 2
NTT
65%
18%
17%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 1962 |
NTT
3 - 1
FUL
55%
21%
24%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1962 |
TOT
9 - 2
NTT
82%
11%
7%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |