Birmingham City vs Nottingham Forest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
20.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 1961 |
SHW
5 - 1
BIR
71%
16%
13%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1961 |
NTT
2 - 1
BIR
47%
23%
30%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1961 |
BIR
2 - 1
FUL
56%
20%
24%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1961 |
BIR
2 - 1
INT
45%
22%
33%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1961 |
LEI
3 - 2
BIR
63%
19%
19%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 1961 |
NTT
2 - 0
SHE
57%
22%
22%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1961 |
NTT
2 - 1
BIR
47%
23%
30%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1961 |
CHL
2 - 2
NTT
70%
16%
14%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1961 |
CHL
4 - 3
NTT
69%
16%
15%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1961 |
TOT
1 - 0
NTT
86%
9%
5%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |