Birmingham City vs Nottingham Forest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.9%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.2%
3-0
7%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
15.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1960 |
BUR
2 - 1
BIR
67%
18%
15%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1960 |
BIR
2 - 0
ARS
56%
21%
23%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1960 |
BIR
1 - 3
PNE
57%
20%
23%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 1960 |
ARS
2 - 0
BIR
59%
20%
21%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1960 |
FUL
2 - 1
BIR
55%
21%
24%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1960 |
NTT
4 - 2
FUL
40%
23%
37%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1960 |
NTT
1 - 2
WBA
38%
25%
37%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1960 |
FUL
1 - 0
NTT
65%
18%
17%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1960 |
CAR
1 - 3
NTT
54%
22%
24%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1960 |
NTT
0 - 2
NEW
37%
23%
40%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |