Birmingham City vs Nottingham Forest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.4%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.1%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
15.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 1957 |
CHL
5 - 1
BIR
61%
20%
19%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1957 |
NTT
1 - 1
BIR
46%
25%
29%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1957 |
BIR
3 - 1
ASV
58%
21%
21%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1957 |
SHW
3 - 0
BIR
62%
19%
19%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1957 |
BIR
3 - 3
MAC
56%
21%
24%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 1957 |
SHW
1 - 2
NTT
70%
16%
14%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1957 |
NTT
1 - 1
BIR
46%
25%
29%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1957 |
NTT
2 - 1
PNE
33%
24%
43%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 May. 1957 |
NTT
2 - 4
NOT
70%
17%
12%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 1957 |
SHE
0 - 4
NTT
57%
21%
22%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | +1 |