Birmingham City vs Nottingham Forest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
14.1%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 1925 |
TOT
0 - 1
BIR
57%
23%
20%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1925 |
LIV
1 - 1
BIR
64%
20%
16%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1925 |
BBU
7 - 1
BIR
57%
23%
20%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 1925 |
BIR
1 - 1
NEW
45%
28%
27%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1925 |
SHE
4 - 3
BIR
59%
23%
18%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 1925 |
NTT
0 - 2
BBU
31%
26%
43%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1925 |
NTT
4 - 0
LEE
41%
28%
31%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 1925 |
WHU
0 - 0
NTT
65%
21%
14%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1925 |
BUR
0 - 0
NTT
79%
13%
8%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1925 |
NTT
0 - 1
PNE
40%
27%
33%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |