Birmingham City vs Nottingham Forest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
19.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 1924 |
BIR
3 - 2
TOT
42%
29%
30%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1924 |
BOL
1 - 1
BIR
69%
18%
13%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1923 |
TOT
1 - 1
BIR
61%
22%
17%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1923 |
BIR
3 - 0
MAC
39%
27%
33%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 1923 |
BIR
0 - 0
WBA
41%
27%
32%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 1924 |
NEW
4 - 0
NTT
62%
21%
17%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1923 |
NTT
0 - 0
NEW
34%
31%
34%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1923 |
CHL
1 - 1
NTT
55%
24%
22%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1923 |
NTT
2 - 0
CHL
43%
27%
30%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 1923 |
WHU
3 - 2
NTT
47%
27%
26%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |