Birmingham City vs Norwich City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.7%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
17.4%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
LUT
3 - 2
BIR
40%
27%
33%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
BIR
1 - 1
LEI
63%
22%
15%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
LEE
3 - 2
BIR
37%
29%
34%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2006 |
BIR
4 - 1
WRE
73%
17%
10%
|
80 | 55 | 25 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
BIR
2 - 2
IPS
61%
23%
16%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Norwich City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
QPR
3 - 3
NOR
34%
27%
39%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2006 |
NOR
1 - 4
BUR
62%
23%
15%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
PLY
3 - 1
NOR
35%
27%
38%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2006 |
ROT
2 - 4
NOR
26%
24%
51%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
NOR
0 - 1
CRY
45%
26%
30%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |