Birmingham City vs Norwich City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.9%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
18.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 1976 |
ARS
1 - 0
BIR
50%
25%
25%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1976 |
BIR
2 - 1
MAC
45%
26%
29%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1976 |
BIR
2 - 1
MID
50%
25%
26%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1976 |
MUD
3 - 1
BIR
61%
22%
18%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1976 |
QPR
2 - 1
BIR
56%
23%
21%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Norwich City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 1976 |
NOR
0 - 3
COV
52%
25%
23%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1976 |
NOR
3 - 1
ARS
47%
26%
28%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1976 |
NOR
1 - 2
BRA
82%
11%
6%
|
81 | 56 | 25 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1976 |
LEE
0 - 3
NOR
73%
17%
10%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 1976 |
EVE
1 - 1
NOR
62%
22%
16%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |