Birmingham City vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
45.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2006 |
EVE
0 - 0
BIR
52%
26%
22%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2006 |
BIR
2 - 1
BBU
36%
28%
37%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2006 |
ASV
3 - 1
BIR
50%
27%
23%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2006 |
WIG
1 - 1
BIR
49%
27%
24%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2006 |
BIR
1 - 0
BOL
31%
27%
43%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2006 |
NEW
3 - 0
WBA
65%
21%
14%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2006 |
SUN
1 - 4
NEW
22%
26%
53%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2006 |
NEW
3 - 1
WIG
58%
24%
18%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
MID
1 - 2
NEW
47%
25%
28%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2006 |
NEW
3 - 1
TOT
46%
27%
27%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |