Birmingham City vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.6%
26.4%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 1958 |
BIR
2 - 0
KOL
84%
9%
7%
|
78 | 16 | 62 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1958 |
BBU
3 - 2
BIR
60%
20%
20%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1958 |
BIR
2 - 2
OPA
63%
18%
19%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 1958 |
WOL
3 - 1
BIR
79%
13%
8%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1958 |
BIR
0 - 3
NTT
64%
19%
18%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 1958 |
NEW
1 - 0
LUT
59%
20%
21%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1958 |
ARS
3 - 2
NEW
64%
18%
18%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1958 |
NEW
4 - 1
MAC
49%
21%
30%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1958 |
PNE
3 - 4
NEW
70%
17%
14%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1958 |
NEW
3 - 1
LEI
56%
19%
24%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | +1 |